About the job
Join an Innovative AI Research Project
A prestigious AI research organization is in search of exceptional superforecasters to contribute to a transformative project focused on enhancing the predictive and reasoning capabilities of AI systems. This role requires generating nuanced, data-informed forecasts across various domains, including geopolitics, global markets, macroeconomics, and significant world events. We are looking for professionals with ties to esteemed forecasting communities and a demonstrated history of precision in their predictions.
Key Responsibilities
- Develop insightful, probability-based forecasts addressing complex global issues.
- Thoroughly document your reasoning, assumptions, data sources, and methodologies.
- Participate in peer review and collaborative enhancement of forecasts.
- Contribute insights on prompt design, scoring frameworks, and criteria for resolving questions.
- Help benchmark and assess AI-generated forecasts against expert human performance.
Qualifications
- Affiliation with a recognized forecasting initiative (e.g., Good Judgment Project, Swift Centre, Rand Forecasting Initiative, International Institute of Forecasters).
- Proven accuracy and calibration in forecasting over multiple years.
- Experience in competitive or public forecasting challenges.
- Strong analytical, probabilistic reasoning, and proficient written communication skills.
- Ability to work autonomously in a structured, asynchronous setting.
Project Information
- Completely remote and asynchronous — flexible working hours.
- Expected commitment: 10–20 hours per week.
Compensation & Terms
- Compensation range: $140–245 per hour (for U.S.-based candidates).
- Engagement classified as independent contractor.

